Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 5-2
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
PET
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 3
PET
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
PET
2 - 0
FLA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
PET
1 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
COR
0 - 3
PET
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 2
VKP
19%
24%
56%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 0
VKP
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ING
2 - 2
VKP
9%
17%
75%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
VKP
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
VKP
2 - 4
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |