Third Division Round 19

Peterhead vs Stranraer analysis

Peterhead Stranraer
55 ELO 45
-1.3% Tilt -4.5%
3587º General ELO ranking 4959º
44º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
66.5%
Peterhead
19.2%
Draw
14.3%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
Peterhead
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.3%
Win probability
Stranraer
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterhead
-12%
+12%
Stranraer

Points and table prediction

Peterhead
Their league position
Stranraer
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
40
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Peterhead
66
66
100%
East Fife
65
65
100%
Edinburgh City
56
56
100%
Elgin City
55
55
100%
Spartans
52
52
100%
Stirling Albion
48
48
100%
Clyde
43
43
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
10º
36
42
100%
Stranraer
40
40
100%
Forfar Athletic
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Peterhead
Stranraer
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Peterhead
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
EDI
Edinburgh City
0 - 1
Peterhead
PET
38%
25%
37%
54 48 6 0
28 Dec. 2024
ELG
Elgin City
2 - 0
Peterhead
PET
41%
25%
34%
55 52 3 -1
21 Dec. 2024
PET
Peterhead
2 - 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
57%
23%
20%
54 49 5 +1
17 Dec. 2024
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 1
Peterhead
PET
31%
26%
43%
54 49 5 0
14 Dec. 2024
PET
Peterhead
1 - 0
East Fife
EAS
44%
26%
30%
53 55 2 +1

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2024
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Clyde
CLY
32%
24%
44%
46 49 3 0
21 Dec. 2024
STI
Stirling Albion
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
59%
22%
20%
45 51 6 +1
14 Dec. 2024
STR
Stranraer
0 - 0
Edinburgh City
EDI
41%
25%
35%
45 46 1 0
10 Dec. 2024
SPA
Spartans
1 - 3
Stranraer
STR
68%
20%
12%
43 56 13 +2
30 Nov. 2024
STR
Stranraer
1 - 2
Broxburn Athletic
BRX
36%
24%
40%
44 47 3 -1