Third Division Round 12

Peterhead vs Stranraer analysis

Peterhead Stranraer
48 ELO 43
-10.5% Tilt 6.3%
3586º General ELO ranking 5056º
44º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
49.4%
Peterhead
24.3%
Draw
26.3%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.3%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterhead
-7%
-17%
Stranraer

Points and table prediction

Peterhead
Their league position
Stranraer
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
36
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stenhousemuir
68
68
100%
Peterhead
60
60
100%
Spartans
58
58
100%
Dumbarton
57
57
100%
East Fife
44
44
100%
Forfar Athletic
42
42
100%
Elgin City
40
40
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
39
100%
Clyde
38
38
100%
Stranraer
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Peterhead
Stranraer
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Peterhead
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
PET
Peterhead
2 - 0
East Fife
EAS
41%
26%
33%
46 47 1 0
28 Oct. 2023
PET
Peterhead
3 - 1
Clachnacuddin
CLA
74%
16%
9%
46 23 23 0
14 Oct. 2023
PET
Peterhead
0 - 2
Dundee United
DUN
9%
18%
73%
46 69 23 0
07 Oct. 2023
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 3
Peterhead
PET
55%
23%
22%
45 49 4 +1
30 Sep. 2023
PET
Peterhead
6 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
42%
25%
33%
43 41 2 +2

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
STR
Stranraer
3 - 1
Elgin City
ELG
55%
22%
24%
43 39 4 0
28 Oct. 2023
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
0 - 3
Stranraer
STR
35%
24%
41%
41 39 2 +2
21 Oct. 2023
EAS
East Fife
4 - 0
Stranraer
STR
57%
22%
21%
42 47 5 -1
07 Oct. 2023
STR
Stranraer
3 - 4
Spartans
SPA
28%
24%
48%
43 50 7 -1
30 Sep. 2023
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 1
Stranraer
STR
51%
24%
25%
44 48 4 -1