Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
40
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
5 - 0
PET
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
1 - 4
QOS
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FAL
3 - 1
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CLY
2 - 2
PET
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KHE
2 - 0
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
KHE
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KHE
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KHE
0 - 0
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CLY
3 - 0
KHE
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |