Peterhead vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
HUN
3 - 0
PET
31%
24%
46%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 2
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1999 |
FOR
4 - 2
ROS
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
DUM
3 - 3
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
ALB
0 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
FOR
2 - 2
QUE
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |