Peterhead vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
PET
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
PET
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PET
1 - 3
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PET
7 - 0
CWB
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
PET
1 - 1
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AYR
1 - 2
DUN
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AYR
3 - 0
AIR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
AYR
1 - 0
ALB
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
AYR
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |