Peterhead vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
STI
2 - 0
PET
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 0
PET
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
STE
2 - 0
PET
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
PET
1 - 1
STI
35%
24%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
PET
2 - 1
DUM
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 1
ARB
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 2
ARB
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
CWB
2 - 1
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
STE
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ARB
3 - 1
DUM
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |