Peterhead vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 2
PET
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PET
3 - 2
STI
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PET
0 - 0
ALL
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CLY
1 - 3
PET
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
PET
1 - 0
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
ARB
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 3
STE
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 1
CWB
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 3
CLY
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |