Peshmarga vs Al Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peshmarga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ALK
4 - 1
PES
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PES
0 - 1
ARB
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
DUH
3 - 2
PES
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
ZAK
2 - 1
PES
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALS
2 - 1
PES
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 3
ARB
14%
25%
62%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ZAK
1 - 0
JAI
75%
18%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 0
RAM
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
JAI
69%
21%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 1
ALN
24%
29%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |