Pesch vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 0
PES
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 4
PES
34%
23%
44%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PES
4 - 3
SVD
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 3
PES
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 2
PES
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 0
BGP
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SVB
0 - 1
SCF
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SCF
6 - 0
WES
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
EIL
4 - 0
SCF
23%
22%
56%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
SCF
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |