Pescara Sub 19 vs Cesena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
71.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
14º
69
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
76.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
4º
|
76.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
67% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
PES
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PES
2 - 2
BEN
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CCS
2 - 2
PES
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
PES
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PES
7 - 1
CRO
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
ASC
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 1
CES
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CES
5 - 0
CRO
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |