Perugia U19 vs SSC Bari U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
16º
14º
31
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PER
1 - 2
PES
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CCS
2 - 1
PER
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PER
0 - 0
MNP
68%
17%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FRO
1 - 0
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
NAP
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
FRO
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ASC
3 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 2
NAP
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TER
4 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
MNP
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |