Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
BEN
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AVE
3 - 1
PER
44%
21%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PER
3 - 2
SAL
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ASC
3 - 2
PER
74%
16%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
PAL
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2025 |
PAD
3 - 2
AVE
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
AVE
3 - 2
REG
43%
22%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AVE
3 - 1
PER
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FRO
3 - 0
AVE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |