Perth Glory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
WPH
1 - 1
PER
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PER
3 - 2
CCM
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADE
0 - 2
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
BRI
57%
22%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 3
PER
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 0
MCI
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 0
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
0 - 3
SYD
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |