Super League Indonesia Round 12

Persija vs Arema FC analysis

Persija Arema FC
60 ELO 63
-7.3% Tilt -4%
4565º General ELO ranking 4687º
10º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
36.9%
Persija
27.9%
Draw
35.1%
Arema FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
Persija
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.1%
Win probability
Arema FC
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Persija
+31%
+6%
Arema FC

ELO progression

Persija
Arema FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Persija
Persija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2019
PST
Persikabo 1973
5 - 3
Persija
PER
47%
26%
27%
61 59 2 0
10 Jul. 2019
PER
Persija
1 - 1
Persib
PER
54%
26%
21%
61 57 4 0
06 Jul. 2019
PUS
Borneo Samarinda
1 - 1
Persija
PER
31%
24%
45%
61 54 7 0
03 Jul. 2019
PER
Persija
1 - 0
PSS Sleman
PSS
61%
23%
16%
61 52 9 0
29 Jun. 2019
PER
Persija
2 - 1
Borneo Samarinda
PUS
57%
23%
20%
60 54 6 +1

Matches

Arema FC
Arema FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2019
ARE
Arema FC
5 - 1
Persib
PER
66%
20%
14%
62 57 5 0
26 Jul. 2019
ARE
Arema FC
3 - 2
Bhayangkara FC
BSU
55%
23%
22%
62 60 2 0
20 Jul. 2019
MAD
Madura United
1 - 0
Arema FC
ARE
49%
25%
26%
62 62 0 0
16 Jul. 2019
ARE
Arema FC
4 - 1
Perseru Badak Lampung
PER
73%
17%
10%
62 50 12 0
12 Jul. 2019
SEM
Semen Padang
0 - 1
Arema FC
ARE
23%
26%
51%
62 50 12 0