A Peroxa CF vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
17.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Peroxa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
APE
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
APE
5 - 3
ARN
73%
15%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
APE
0 - 1
FRA
55%
19%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
APE
14%
18%
68%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
APE
4 - 2
MOR
91%
6%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
4 - 0
FRA
22%
20%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 4
ARR
39%
23%
39%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
6 - 3
MOR
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAS
3 - 1
ARR
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
4 - 2
CAL
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |