Carioca Série B1 Fase Final 1RA Fase Final

Pérolas Negras vs Serrano FC analysis

Pérolas Negras Serrano FC
44 ELO 37
-13.8% Tilt -6%
6429º General ELO ranking 5686º
280º Country ELO ranking 234º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Pérolas Negras
22.8%
Draw
21.1%
Serrano FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
Pérolas Negras
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
Serrano FC
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pérolas Negras
-17%
+27%
Serrano FC

ELO progression

Pérolas Negras
Serrano FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pérolas Negras
Pérolas Negras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2021
AME
Americano
3 - 1
Pérolas Negras
PER
41%
24%
35%
45 45 0 0
09 Oct. 2021
CGA
Campo Grande
0 - 1
Pérolas Negras
PER
41%
24%
35%
45 44 1 0
06 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
0 - 3
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
62%
21%
17%
46 34 12 -1
03 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
1 - 0
Rio Sao Paulo
RIO
74%
17%
10%
46 24 22 0
30 Sep. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
3 - 0
Americano
AME
34%
25%
41%
44 47 3 +2

Matches

Serrano FC
Serrano FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2021
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
1 - 2
Serrano FC
SFC
42%
24%
34%
36 36 0 0
06 Oct. 2021
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 2
Serrano FC
SFC
37%
24%
39%
36 32 4 0
02 Oct. 2021
SFC
Serrano FC
2 - 1
Campo Grande
CGA
13%
18%
69%
34 45 11 +2
25 Sep. 2021
OLA
Olaria
1 - 0
Serrano FC
SFC
38%
25%
37%
34 32 2 0
22 Sep. 2021
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
21%
23%
55%
33 42 9 +1
X