Carioca Série B1 ETAPAS FINALES. Final
Global 1-2
Pérolas Negras vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 1
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
SFC
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 0
PER
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PER
5 - 2
CGA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
DUQ
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 7
ADC
20%
20%
61%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 0
PER
27%
24%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CGA
0 - 2
ADC
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |