Perly-Certoux vs Vernier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCR
1 - 4
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
PER
4 - 0
CSC
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
VEV
3 - 1
PER
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
PER
2 - 3
SIE
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
USC
2 - 1
PER
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VER
1 - 1
UGS
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
VER
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VER
3 - 0
FCM
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
COL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
FCL
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |