Perly-Certoux vs Sierre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SBC
4 - 1
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
PER
4 - 4
CSC
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
4 - 0
PER
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
FCL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
USC
2 - 1
PER
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAV
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 2
SIE
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 4
TER
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SER
4 - 0
SIE
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SIE
0 - 1
MON
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |