Perly-Certoux vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FCG
2 - 1
PER
18%
22%
59%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
LAU
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
SEN
4 - 0
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PER
5 - 0
LOC
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SBC
0 - 3
PER
55%
23%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEX
0 - 3
TER
20%
22%
59%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FCM
4 - 2
BEX
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BEX
0 - 1
COL
61%
21%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FCG
0 - 2
BEX
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BEX
0 - 3
LAU
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |