Perly-Certoux vs Aigle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MEY
1 - 2
PER
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PER
3 - 2
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FCM
2 - 5
PER
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
SIE
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
UGS
1 - 0
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AIG
0 - 0
PLO
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
AIG
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AIG
2 - 4
VEY
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AIG
2 - 3
MEY
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
AIG
47%
21%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |