Pergocrema vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
PER
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
SIR
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 0
PER
20%
28%
53%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FCS
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 3
ACP
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
PIA
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 1
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
PIA
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 3
USC
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |