Penycae FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 3
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
AEL
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 1
PEN
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
LLA
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 3
GUI
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAE
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 0
RHY
19%
20%
62%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
4 - 1
CEF
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |