Penybont vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 4
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 3
GOY
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 3
HAV
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
LLA
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GOY
3 - 1
PEN
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LID
2 - 1
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GOY
1 - 0
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 0
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
35%
24%
40%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
PON
0 - 5
MON
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |