Penybont vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
PEN
26%
23%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
LID
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GOY
1 - 2
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAE
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEF
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PRE
0 - 2
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |