Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
8º
6º
7
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCO
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 2
UES
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 0
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
LAM
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FCR
6 - 2
PEN
49%
22%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 7
INT
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 71 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCO
1 - 1
ESA
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 1
PAC
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ESA
1 - 1
FCR
19%
20%
62%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SCO
4 - 0
ESA
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |