Penya Encarnada vs Atlètic Escaldes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
63
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
UEE
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
FCS
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 1
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
55%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlètic Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
SJU
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 3
ATL
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCO
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SCO
0 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
55%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |