Penya Arrabal vs Xilvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 0
PEN
19%
23%
57%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAL
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 1
CLL
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SHO
0 - 2
PEN
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
XIL
1 - 0
UNI
23%
23%
54%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PLA
4 - 1
XIL
52%
23%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
XIL
1 - 5
GEN
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SCD
4 - 2
XIL
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
XIL
0 - 4
CFP
20%
24%
57%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |