Penya Arrabal vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MNC
2 - 1
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
LLO
54%
23%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SNF
4 - 3
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
32%
26%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MER
0 - 0
CLL
47%
23%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
MNC
1 - 0
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MER
4 - 0
FLN
70%
17%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LLO
2 - 1
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MER
3 - 0
MNU
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |