Penya Arrabal vs CF Norteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
BNS
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PXD
2 - 0
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 3
MNC
16%
23%
61%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CF Norteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NTÑ
2 - 0
MNC
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LLO
3 - 0
NTÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NTÑ
0 - 1
SNF
20%
23%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FER
3 - 0
NTÑ
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NTÑ
1 - 2
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |