FAW Championship Gales North Round 26

Penrhyncoch FC vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis

Penrhyncoch FC Holyhead Hotspur
39 ELO 40
-15.2% Tilt 5.1%
6694º General ELO ranking 11549º
50º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
44.6%
Penrhyncoch FC
26%
Draw
29.5%
Holyhead Hotspur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
Penrhyncoch FC
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
Holyhead Hotspur
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Penrhyncoch FC
+62%
+3%
Holyhead Hotspur

ELO progression

Penrhyncoch FC
Holyhead Hotspur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penrhyncoch FC
Penrhyncoch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2022
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
3 - 0
Guilsfield FC
GUI
11%
20%
69%
35 51 16 0
26 Feb. 2022
LLA
Llandudno FC
4 - 0
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
65%
20%
15%
36 46 10 -1
12 Feb. 2022
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 1
Airbus UK
AIR
7%
15%
77%
36 55 19 0
05 Feb. 2022
COL
Colwyn Bay
5 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
65%
20%
16%
37 45 8 -1
29 Jan. 2022
PRE
Prestatyn Town
0 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
72%
16%
11%
36 45 9 +1

Matches

Holyhead Hotspur
Holyhead Hotspur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2022
HOL
Holyhead Hotspur
2 - 0
Conwy Borough FC
CON
62%
20%
18%
39 30 9 0
12 Feb. 2022
HOL
Holyhead Hotspur
1 - 0
Holywell
HOL
20%
23%
57%
36 48 12 +3
29 Jan. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
0 - 0
Holyhead Hotspur
HOL
57%
21%
21%
36 41 5 0
18 Dec. 2021
HOL
Holyhead Hotspur
1 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
12%
19%
69%
36 54 18 0
10 Dec. 2021
LLA
Llandudno FC
2 - 0
Holyhead Hotspur
HOL
65%
20%
15%
36 45 9 0