Cymru Alliance Round 27

Penrhyncoch FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis

Penrhyncoch FC Cefn Druids AFC
30 ELO 45
4.8% Tilt 14.6%
6594º General ELO ranking 22611º
49º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
20.9%
Penrhyncoch FC
22.7%
Draw
56.4%
Cefn Druids AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
Penrhyncoch FC
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.4%
Win probability
Cefn Druids AFC
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Penrhyncoch FC
Cefn Druids AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penrhyncoch FC
Penrhyncoch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2013
RTW
Ruthin Town
2 - 2
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
23%
23%
54%
33 24 9 0
30 Mar. 2013
FLI
Flint Town United
0 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
66%
19%
15%
29 36 7 +4
16 Mar. 2013
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
2 - 3
Llandudno FC
LLA
46%
24%
30%
29 31 2 0
12 Mar. 2013
POR
Porthmadog
1 - 0
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
68%
18%
15%
30 35 5 -1
09 Mar. 2013
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 3
Guilsfield FC
GUI
36%
24%
40%
32 36 4 -2

Matches

Cefn Druids AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
0 - 1
Conwy Borough FC
CON
66%
19%
15%
47 41 6 0
09 Mar. 2013
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
3 - 2
Holyhead Hotspur
HOL
71%
17%
12%
47 36 11 0
01 Mar. 2013
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
4 - 2
Rhydymwyn FC
RHY
85%
10%
5%
47 22 25 0
23 Feb. 2013
PEN
Penycae FC
2 - 4
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
13%
19%
68%
47 22 25 0
19 Feb. 2013
FLI
Flint Town United
1 - 5
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
33%
25%
42%
46 37 9 +1