Pennarossa vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TPE
3 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
TFI
25%
22%
54%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 2
VIR
35%
24%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |