Pennarossa vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 3
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 2
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 4
FIO
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |