Pennarossa vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DOM
5 - 0
PEN
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
PEN
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAI
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TPE
5 - 2
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 3
COS
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 1
COS
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |