Peninsula Power vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 3
IPS
80%
12%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 4
PEN
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LOG
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
ALB
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
0 - 2
PEN
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAP
5 - 2
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HPH
1 - 0
UNI
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROC
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 1
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
MIT
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |