Peninsula Power vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
IPS
1 - 2
PEN
15%
18%
68%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
PEN
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 3
PEN
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 4
ALB
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MIT
4 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
EAS
12%
20%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
QUE
7 - 2
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |