Peniche vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
PEN
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
BOM
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 0
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 1
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAM
2 - 1
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
PAM
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAM
3 - 2
POM
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
PAM
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
PAM
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |