Peniche U19 vs Real SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
5º
26
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 4
PEN
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 3
LOU
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
EPO
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 0
PEN
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 4
MAF
16%
18%
66%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Real SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 0
CDF
64%
18%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 2
RSC
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
RSC
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 1
SAC
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
RSC
6%
13%
81%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |