Peñarol AC vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 3
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
1 - 0
PEN
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FAS
1 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 2
FAS
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FAS
4 - 0
GAS
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAS
72%
19%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FAS
1 - 2
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |