Penalva Castelo vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
PED
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +4 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CES
3 - 1
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 4
AMA
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 2
ACA
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
CIN
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 2
GAF
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 1
PAR
83%
13%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GAF
4 - 1
FAV
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 0
GAF
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |