Penafiel vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ACV
1 - 2
PEN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
GFC
3 - 1
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 0
UNM
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SCP
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SCP
5 - 1
OLH
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LEX
1 - 2
SCP
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 0
SCF
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |