Penafiel vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
30.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
VSC
2 - 4
PEN
28%
30%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 1
OLI
42%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 2
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
LEX
1 - 3
SCP
50%
27%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
TON
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
SCP
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 0
UNM
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |