Penafiel vs SC Freamunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
BMA
1 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 2
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
VIZ
0 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 3
GFC
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FAT
0 - 3
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
SCF
3 - 1
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
AVE
3 - 0
SCF
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SCF
1 - 1
VIZ
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
GFC
1 - 0
SCF
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SCF
2 - 1
FAT
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |