Primeira Liga round 3

Penafiel vs SC Salgueiros analysis

Penafiel SC Salgueiros
70 ELO 68
-19.4% Tilt -8.1%
1623º General ELO ranking 5165º
31º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Penafiel
28.2%
Draw
26.1%
SC Salgueiros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
Penafiel
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.1%
Win probability
SC Salgueiros
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Penafiel
-20%
+2%
SC Salgueiros

ELO progression

Penafiel
SC Salgueiros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 1991
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 0
Farense
FAR
40%
29%
32%
68 72 4 0
18 Aug. 1991
UNM
União Madeira
1 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
47%
28%
25%
69 66 3 -1
19 May. 1991
TIR
Tirsense
2 - 2
Penafiel
PEN
56%
26%
19%
68 70 2 +1
12 May. 1991
PEN
Penafiel
2 - 0
Chaves
CHA
38%
30%
32%
67 75 8 +1
05 May. 1991
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
64%
21%
15%
68 71 3 -1

Matches

SC Salgueiros
SC Salgueiros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 1991
SAL
SC Salgueiros
1 - 0
União Madeira
UNM
53%
27%
20%
68 67 1 0
18 Aug. 1991
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 1
SC Salgueiros
SAL
52%
27%
21%
68 73 5 0
19 May. 1991
CHA
Chaves
1 - 0
SC Salgueiros
SAL
66%
20%
14%
68 74 6 0
12 May. 1991
SAL
SC Salgueiros
0 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
49%
28%
23%
68 72 4 0
05 May. 1991
FAM
Famalicão
2 - 1
SC Salgueiros
SAL
51%
26%
24%
69 66 3 -1