Penafiel vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 0
PEN
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
FEI
41%
29%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 0
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 1
LEX
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 2
ORI
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 0
OLH
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SCF
0 - 0
ORI
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 3
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |