Penafiel vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAF
1 - 1
PEN
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
PEN
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
SPC
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 1
SPB
17%
24%
60%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAR
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 0
VSC
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
BEN
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 1
FAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |