La Peña vs SP Cabanillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
LAP
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LAP
1 - 1
ARE
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CDC
4 - 0
LAP
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LAP
3 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ERR
3 - 4
LAP
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SP Cabanillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 2
IDO
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 2
CAB
42%
25%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAB
0 - 1
MEN
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TOM
1 - 0
CAB
19%
22%
58%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 2
MAD
46%
25%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |