Pelotas vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 0
AIM
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 0
SGA
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ISM
1 - 0
PEL
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
SGA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AIM
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ISM
1 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 3
GUA
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECA
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |